Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 102.393636 116.295101 131.614849 149.787368 170.803855 194.401781 222.983975
2026-01-04 83.581559 102.037792 124.077801 152.485227 188.341648 232.374618 290.970255
2026-01-11 70.874952 91.005036 116.442423 151.234088 198.027252 259.412570 347.074674
2026-01-18 63.664418 85.179569 113.656892 154.571809 212.610274 293.136827 415.340509
2026-01-25 56.974946 78.893180 109.054216 154.233638 221.308109 318.990627 475.324906
2026-02-01 52.171020 74.484880 106.276705 155.724175 232.240382 348.739310 544.617806
2026-02-08 47.090854 69.036459 101.263037 153.065278 236.210347 367.910423 599.386806
2026-02-15 43.746686 65.760028 99.026341 154.209119 245.950357 396.946709 674.102362
2026-02-22 40.995111 63.076522 97.350942 155.911926 256.562422 428.386701 757.201287
2026-03-01 37.462359 58.814216 92.734775 152.205681 257.448980 443.009690 811.554604
2026-03-08 34.511600 55.217285 88.838836 149.243537 259.154147 459.034229 870.522724
2026-03-15 32.177493 52.428548 86.012689 147.795600 263.301108 479.822271 941.642329
2026-03-22 30.858341 51.432633 86.463960 152.855271 281.300975 531.552029 1090.142986
2026-03-29 29.276679 49.865300 85.817698 155.937699 296.182692 579.929577 1242.359157
2026-04-05 27.229406 47.272815 83.063659 154.672494 302.219376 611.063387 1362.109139
2026-04-12 26.034303 46.098122 82.763415 158.096075 318.225826 665.638563 1547.934708
2026-04-19 24.473887 44.100785 80.713863 157.749346 326.155819 703.589855 1700.913704
2026-04-26 23.283970 42.692667 79.648672 159.277859 338.335676 753.060174 1894.205298
2026-05-03 21.728591 40.446772 76.729543 156.551255 340.547593 779.283268 2030.849664
2026-05-10 20.722865 39.192713 75.674679 157.724207 351.918423 829.626594 2246.520106
2026-05-17 19.853833 38.136997 74.922644 159.470397 364.875068 886.074146 2493.591285
2026-05-24 18.535306 36.063405 71.871838 155.669797 363.737857 905.603408 2632.976214
2026-05-31 17.394346 34.270768 69.267643 152.632435 364.133860 929.360798 2791.743539